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By Alexandra M. Macedo
Key Points
  • Refinery closures, declining oil production, and restrictive permitting policies are reducing gasoline capacity and increasing reliance on imported oil, raising the risk of rapid price spikes for consumers.
  • With more than 75% of oil imported, California is exposed to global disruptions while jeopardizing an industry that supports over 530,000 jobs, $166 billion in economic output, and $48 billion in state and local tax revenue.
  • The article argues that streamlining permits in existing oil fields, maintaining pipelines and refineries, and rethinking regulations that discourage investment would improve affordability, reliability, and environmental outcomes.

Thanks to the policies signed by Governor Gavin Newsom, California families are paying too much for gas — and the situation is about to get worse if we don’t change course. Two of our state’s nine remaining refineries are shutting down, removing nearly 20% of our gasoline production capacity. That could drive prices up rapidly within the next year. For families already stretched thin by high housing, grocery and utility costs, that’s unacceptable.

Our in-state crude oil production has dropped by more than half since 2000, and the decline is speeding up. 

We now import more than 75% of our oil, much of it from foreign countries with weaker environmental standards and unstable governments. This dependence leaves California exposed to global conflicts and supply disruptions that send prices soaring.

If domestic production continues to fall, the pipelines carrying oil from Kern County to our refineries could fall below minimum flow levels and shut down. Once a pipeline closes, it is virtually impossible to reopen under California’s current permitting system. That would force refineries to rely even more on oil shipped by tankers, where port capacity is already limited and state mandates on ship emissions add even more costs at the pump. If refineries cannot secure enough crude, they have to cut production or close altogether.

This is not just about energy companies — it’s about every Californian. 

When gas prices spike, working families cut back on essentials. Businesses face higher transportation costs that get passed on to consumers. Jobs in refining, transportation and manufacturing disappear, and entire communities suffer.

The oil and gas industry supports over 530,000 jobs in California and contributes $166 billion to our economy — nearly 5% of our state’s GDP. And as USC Prof. Michael Mische pointed out recently, that is the first part of the economy. If that first part goes away, so does the rest of the economy. 

It also provides $48 billion in state and local tax revenue funding schools, public safety and infrastructure. Shutting down this economic engine doesn’t just hurt energy supply; it undermines the services Californians depend on.

Voters see the issue. A recent statewide poll found that 86% of Californians view high gas prices as a problem, with more than half calling it a major problem. 

We can protect the environment and keep energy affordable by producing more of our own oil. That means streamlining permits for new wells in existing oil fields, especially in Kern County, which has some of the most established — and well-regulated — production in the world.

It also means rethinking regulations that could shut down refineries, from a proposed cap on profits to permitting delays that stall maintenance and upgrades. These policies can make operating in California so difficult that companies shut down.

This is not about rolling back protections for the environment. California’s standards are already among the strongest in the world. Producing more energy here reduces the need to ship oil thousands of miles from places with weaker safeguards. That’s better for our economy, our workers and the environment.

Boosting in-state production also strengthens our energy security. Conflicts abroad should not dictate what Californians pay at the pump. By producing more at home, we can shield families from price shocks and keep good jobs in our communities.

California has led in many areas. But leadership means facing reality: if we allow more of our energy infrastructure to close, prices will rise, jobs will vanish and we’ll depend even more on foreign oil.

It’s time to put Californians first with affordable fuel, a reliable supply and strong local economies. That starts with keeping our refineries open, maintaining critical pipelines and producing more of our own energy under the safest and cleanest standards in the world.

California Assemblywoman Alexandra Macedo represents the 33rd Assembly District, which encompasses Tulare, Kings and Fresno counties. 

*The opinions expressed in this column are those of the author and do not necessarily reflect the views of EnergyPlatform.News.

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